Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.188603 0.218353 0.251251 0.290330 0.335493 0.386061 0.446997
2025-08-31 0.140462 0.179969 0.228215 0.291477 0.372297 0.472173 0.605137
2025-09-07 0.115843 0.159191 0.215880 0.295469 0.404434 0.548593 0.754201
2025-09-14 0.095929 0.139578 0.199941 0.289547 0.419361 0.600930 0.874886
2025-09-21 0.082217 0.125698 0.188811 0.287138 0.436737 0.656312 1.004180
2025-09-28 0.072835 0.116399 0.182428 0.289848 0.460604 0.722283 1.155372
2025-10-05 0.067880 0.112961 0.184046 0.304351 0.503409 0.820721 1.367286
2025-10-12 0.062727 0.108371 0.183027 0.314089 0.539138 0.911218 1.576282
2025-10-19 0.057921 0.103637 0.181016 0.321594 0.571507 0.999047 1.790174
2025-10-26 0.053019 0.098055 0.176781 0.324502 0.595852 1.075249 1.991794
2025-11-02 0.047791 0.091199 0.169438 0.320814 0.607645 1.130105 2.160427
2025-11-09 0.042308 0.083185 0.159042 0.310159 0.605098 1.158189 2.281638
2025-11-16 0.039636 0.080295 0.157984 0.317343 0.637721 1.256273 2.550432
2025-11-23 0.036517 0.076163 0.154096 0.318576 0.658923 1.334930 2.790661
2025-11-30 0.034090 0.073115 0.151948 0.322940 0.686693 1.429130 3.072792
2025-12-07 0.030857 0.067987 0.144988 0.316466 0.691122 1.476138 3.261070
2025-12-14 0.028338 0.064085 0.140124 0.313833 0.703286 1.540277 3.493167
2025-12-21 0.026554 0.061584 0.137957 0.316795 0.727906 1.633448 3.799853
2025-12-28 0.025936 0.061646 0.141386 0.332648 0.783147 1.799456 4.290773
2026-01-04 0.024948 0.060730 0.142506 0.343292 0.827536 1.945653 4.752187
2026-01-11 0.023854 0.059430 0.142597 0.351495 0.867036 2.084659 5.212225
2026-01-18 0.022516 0.057379 0.140700 0.354674 0.894726 2.198678 5.624111
2026-01-25 0.020857 0.054338 0.136094 0.350643 0.904130 2.269581 5.936104